Smart and Sustainable Electric Mobility
BYD topped the LFP battery market with a 39.61 percent share, but lower than its 45.30 percent share in May.
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In the first half of the year, China's NEV sales amounted to 3,745,000 units, contributing 28.3 percent of all vehicle sales.
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The Xpeng G9 sold 1,025 units in June, the P5 1,721 units and the G3 series 434 units.
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Nio ET5 and ET5 Touring sold 2,479 and 1,339 units in June, contributing 30.67 percent and 16.57 percent of deliveries, respectively.
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PHEVs sold a record 217,000 units at retail in June, contributing 32.6 percent of NEV retail sales and up 100.2 percent year-on-year.
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In June, Tesla had an 11.16 percent share of the Chinese NEV market and a 16.53 percent share of the Chinese BEV market.
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This is below the CPCA's June 25 estimate of about 670,000 units.
Retail sales of passenger new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China were 638,000 units in June, up 19 percent year-on-year and up 10 percent from May, according to preliminary data released today by the CPCA.
On June 25, the CPCA estimated in a report that China's retail sales of passenger NEVs in June would be around 670,000 units. The latest preliminary figures have been revised downward from the previous estimate.
From January to June, retail sales of passenger NEVs in China were 3.06 million units, up 36 percent year-on-year, according to the CPCA.
Wholesale sales of passenger NEVs in China were 744,000 units in June, up 30 percent year-on-year and up 10 percent from the previous month.
From January to June, wholesale sales of passenger NEVs in China were 3.53 million units, up 43 percent year-on-year.
Retail sales of all passenger vehicles in China were 1.896 million units in June, down 2 percent year-on-year but up 9 percent from May, according to the CPCA.
This means that the penetration of passenger NEVs at retail in June was 33.64 percent, up from 31.66 percent in May.
Retail sales of all passenger vehicles in China from January to June were 9.528 million units, up 3 percent year-on-year.
Wholesale sales of passenger cars in China increased 2.23 million units in June, up 2 percent year-on-year and up 11 percent from May.
From January to June, China's wholesale passenger vehicle sales were 11.06 million units, up 9 percent year-on-year.
The following is the CPCA's weekly retail sales performance for the Chinese passenger vehicle market for June, as announced today:
For the first week of June, June 1-4, passenger vehicle daily retail sales averaged 31,000 units, down 9 percent year-on-year and down 42 percent from the same period in May.
In the second week of June, from June 5-11, the average daily retail sales of passenger cars were 43,000 units, down 10 percent year-on-year and 14 percent lower than the same period in May.
In the third week of June, June 12-18, average daily retail sales of passenger cars were 58,000 units, down 2 percent year-on-year but up 21 percent from the same period in May.
In the fourth week of June, June 19-25, average daily retail sales of passenger cars were 75,000 units, up 9 percent year-on-year and up 53 percent from the same period in May.
In the fifth week of June, from June 26-30, the national passenger car market averaged 108,000 daily retail sales, down 7 percent year-on-year and up 30 percent from the same period in May.
China NEV insurance registrations for week ending Jul 2: BYD 54,000, Nio ES6 1,900
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CATL's battery installed base grew 59.6 percent year-on-year in January-May, while BYD's grew 107.8 percent year-on-year, according to SNE Research.
China's CATL and BYD (OTCMKTS: BYDDY) continued to dominate the global power battery market in the January-May period, the latest figures show.
From January to May, total global battery consumption for electric vehicles (EVs) was 237.6 GWh, up 52.3 percent from 156.0 GWh in the same period last year, according to data released today by South Korean market research firm SNE Research.
CATL installed 86.2 GWh of batteries in January-May, up 59.6 percent from 54.0 GWh in the same period last year.
The Chinese power battery giant continues to rank first in the world with a 36.3 percent share and remains the only battery supplier in the world with a market share of more than 30 percent.
This is up from its 34.6 percent share in the same period last year and up from its 35.9 percent share in the January-April period.
CATL's batteries are installed in many major passenger EV models in China's domestic market, such as the Tesla Model 3, Model Y, SAIC Mulan, GAC Aion Y, and Nio ET5, as well as Chinese commercial vehicle models, and continue to grow steadily, SNE Research said.
BYD installed 38.1 GWh of power batteries from January to May, up 107.8 percent from 18.4 GWh in the same period last year.
The company ranked second with a 16.1 percent share from January to May, up from 11.8 percent in the same period last year and unchanged compared to January-April.
BYD has gained popularity in China's domestic market with its competitive pricing by establishing a vertically integrated supply chain management, including battery self-sufficiency and vehicle manufacturing, SNE Research said.
With the launch of the Atto 3 model, BYD showed explosive growth by expanding its market share outside of China in Asia and Europe, SNE Research said.
LG Energy Solution installed 33.0 GWh of power batteries from January to May, up 56.0 percent year-on-year.
The South Korean company ranked third in the world with a 13.9 percent share, slightly up from 13.6 percent a year ago and down from 14.1 percent in the January-April period.
Panasonic of Japan ranked fourth with an 8.0 percent share, SK On of South Korea ranked fifth with 5.2 percent share and CALB of China ranked sixth with a 4.3 percent share.
Samsung SDI of South Korea, China's Gotion High-tech, Eve Energy, and Sunwoda ranked seventh, eighth, ninth, and tenth respectively, with 4.2 percent, 2.2 percent, 2.2 percent, and 1.6 percent shares in January-May.
It is worth noting that CALB's power battery installed base of 10.2 GWh continued to be higher than Samsung SDI's 9.9 GWh in January-May.
From January to March, CALB's 5.7 GWh was lower than Samsung SDI's 6.5 GWh. From January to April, CALB's 8.4 GWh exceeded Samsung SDI's 7.5 GWh.
In 2023, Chinese companies are expected to push into overseas markets such as Europe, preparing for a gradual decline in growth in China's domestic market, SNE Research said.
Europe is the largest EV market after China and is aggressively implementing environmental policies, so it is highly likely to be the biggest battleground in the future, according to SNE Research.
In the future, the proportion of LFP batteries in Europe is expected to increase as Chinese companies enter the European market in earnest, the report said.
Nio starts to get cells from WeLion, as deliveries of 150-kWh batteries set to begin in Jul
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In the first half of the year, wholesale sales of passenger NEVs in China are expected to be 3.53 million units, up 44 percent year-on-year.
China's wholesale sales of passenger new energy vehicles (NEVs) are expected to be 740,000 units in June, up 10 percent from May and up 30 percent year-on-year, the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) said in a report today.
In May, the 12 manufacturers with more than 10,000 NEVs sold at wholesale contributed 82.8 percent of all wholesale sales, the CPCA said.
These companies are expected to sell 611,000 units in June, and the normal structure would put China's June wholesale sales of passenger NEVs at around 740,000 units, the CPCA said.
In the January-June period, China's wholesale sales of passenger NEVs are expected to be 3.53 million units, up 44 percent from a year earlier, according to the report.
In China, NEVs include battery electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids and fuel cell vehicles.
China's passenger NEV market maintained strong growth in June, continuing May's trend with sales reaching an all-time high, the CPCA said.
With the launch of a large number of competitive new products and increased promotions in the second quarter, consumers' enthusiasm for buying was gradually released, the report said.
Manufacturers and dealers are actively carrying out various promotional activities to achieve their semi-annual targets, and coupled with local government subsidies, NEV retail sales continue to improve, the CPCA said.
Passenger vehicle sales in China are expected to be 23.5 million units in 2023, with 8.5 million units of NEVs sold and penetration expected to reach 36 percent, the CPCA said, repeating its previous forecast.
For the full year 2022, China's wholesale sales of passenger NEVs are expected to be 6.5 million units, up 96.3 percent year-on-year.
Here are the CPCA's June NEV wholesale sales figures for major automakers.
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After the price cut and a series of new models, Nio sales could reach 20,000 units per month in the third quarter, according to Edison Yu's team.
China's major electric vehicle (EV) makers recently announced their June deliveries, and Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu's team provided their take, as usual.
"June EV sales surprised to the upside as demand picked up, likely signaling some normalization in consumer behavior and release of pent-up demand from buyers taking advantage of low prices," the team said in a research note sent to investors today.
Li Auto (NASDAQ: LI) again led the way among the upstarts, setting a new monthly record, while Nio (NYSE: NIO) saw a large improvement in monthly sales, driven by the speedy ramp-up of the ES6, the team noted.
Looking ahead, pressure will be on Nio and Xpeng (NYSE: XPEV) to deliver big growth in the second half with new vehicle launches, while Li Auto works to increase its already strong order book, Yu's team said.
As a backdrop, Nio delivered 10,707 vehicles in June, up 73.96 percent from 6,155 in May, though down 17.39 percent from 12,961 a year earlier.
Xpeng delivered 8,620 vehicles in June, up 14.84 percent from May and the fifth sequential growth, despite a 43.64 percent decline from the same month last year.
Li Auto delivered a record 32,575 vehicles in June, surpassing the 30,000 mark for the first time.
Zeekr delivered 10,620 vehicles in June, up 146.86 percent year-on-year and up 22.38 percent from May.
Yu's team said Nio deliveries were slightly below their forecast, though the new ES6 appears to be ramping up smoothly and should be a bigger contributor in July along with the full month of production of the ET5 Touring.
After the price cut and a slew of new models, Nio could reach 20,000 units per month in the third quarter, the team said.
The team said Xpeng deliveries exceeded their expectations and, most importantly, the initial reception to the new G6 looks increasingly positive.
Looking ahead, Xpeng is on track to hit at least 10,000 deliveries in July and 15,000 in September is doable, the team said.
Here is the full text of the team's research note.
June gathering momentum
June EV sales surprised to the upside as demand picked up, likely signaling some normalization in consumer behavior and release of pent-up demand from buyers taking advantage of low prices.
Total NEV retail sales appear to be tracking around 670k according to preliminary CPCA forecasts or +16 percent MoM (+26 percent YoY).
Li Auto once again led the way among the upstarts setting a new monthly record while Nio saw a large improvement MoM driven by speedy ramp up of ES6.
Looking ahead, the pressure will be on Nio and XPEV to deliver big growth in 2H from new launches while Li Auto strives to increase its already robust order book.
June OEM recap
Li Auto delivered 32,575 vehicles (+15 percent MoM; +150 percent YoY), easily beating our forecast. Looking ahead, management is targeting L8 and L9 to be +10,000 each and L7 at 15,000 in monthly sales for 3Q and then 40,000 total in 4Q.
To support this, we are expecting a cheaper variant of the L9 to be available later in the year.
Separately, the first BEV (Li MEGA) is set to be unveiled in 4Q, catering to the >500k RMB segment.
The company exited the month with 331 retail stores and 323 servicing centers.
Nio delivered 10,707 units (+74 percent MoM; -17 percent YoY), slightly below our forecast.
The new ES6 appears to be ramping up smoothly and should be an even bigger contributor in July along with a full month of ET5 Touring production. New ES8 deliveries also began in the last few days of June.
Following the price cut and slew of new models, we think 20,000 in monthly sales is achievable during 3Q.
Nio exited the month with ~1,500 battery swap stations.
XPeng delivered 8,620 units (+15 percent MoM; -44 percent YoY), ahead of our expectations. P7 sales increased 17 percent MoM to nearly 5,200.
Most importantly, the initial reception to the new G6 is looking increasingly positive.
Starting price will be just 210k RMB and management raised its pre-sale number to +35,000 units (vs. prior +25,000), suggesting a robust pipeline of deliveries for 3Q.
Looking ahead, we expect July can reach at least 10,000 deliveries and 15,000 in September is doable.
Zeekr delivered sales of 10,620 vehicles (+22 percent MoM; +147 percent YoY). Looking ahead, Zeekr is offering some promotions through September on the 001 (likely in response to ET5 Touring competition) including free upgrade options on exterior color, larger 100 kWh battery, dual-motor 4WD, air suspension, and/or charging credits.
In addition, the company is providing special financing offers on all models.
Recall, Zeekr is targeting 140,000 in total unit sales this year (<43,000 through 6 months so far).
Nio deliveries rebound to 10,707 units in Jun as new models bring relief
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