Category: Insights

China’s new energy products do not have overcapacity, but undersupply, state paper says

China's new energy industry provides high-quality production capacity that enriches global supply and eases global inflationary pressures, and the world needs more of such high-quality production capacity, the People's Daily […]

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Li L6 to be Li Auto sales growth driver, but will face stiff competition, says Deutsche Bank

The Li L6 will be the biggest driver of Li Auto's sales growth this year, but the segment is highly competitive due to the natural effect of falling price ranges, says Deutsche Bank.

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Price war in China’s passenger car market to remain fierce in 2024, says CPCA secretary-general

The process of new manufacturers replacing old ones in the process of establishing a new market order will likely continue for several years until a new landscape is formed, said Cui Dongshu of the CPCA.

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Buying BEV platform in China could be ‘big bang’ for VW stock to win over large investors, says Deutsche Bank

Buying a BEV platform in China could be one of the "big bangs" needed for Volkswagen stock to break out of what can by now only be characterized as being largely ignored by many of the largest asset managers globally, Deutsche Bank said.

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EVs with all-solid-state batteries expected to be in mass production by 2030, doubling range from today, TrendForce says

By then, the energy density of lithium batteries could reach 500 Wh/kg, providing EVs with two to three times the range of liquid lithium batteries and tying the range of fuel vehicles, TrendForce said.

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Local brands expected to capture over 50% of China’s auto market for 1st time this year, AlixPartners says

Chinese automakers have now crossed the inflection point for global influence, with local brands expected to hold 65 percent of the market share in China by 2030, AlixPartners said.

China, the world's largest auto market, has been dominated by foreign brands for many years, but that is about to change with the rapid growth of local brands in the past few years.

This year, China will become the world's largest auto exporter, and for the first time, local brands are expected to overtake overseas brands in market share, AlixPartners, a New York-based consulting firm, said in a report yesterday.

Chinese automakers have now crossed the inflection point for global influence, with local brands expected to hold 65 percent of the market in China by 2030, said Stephen Dyer, co-head of AlixPartners Greater China.

In the first half of 2020, local brands' monthly share of the Chinese auto market was at slightly more than 30 percent, with German and Japanese brands then at around 30 percent and 25 percent, respectively, according to the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA).

In October 2022, the share of local brands in the Chinese auto market reached 51.53 percent, the first time in history that the monthly share exceeded 50 percent, according to data monitored by CnEVPost.

While local brands are on the rise, foreign brands are gradually declining. In October last year, the share of German brands fell to 19.25 percent and Japanese brands fell to 18.94 percent.

In the first five months of this year, the share of local brands has remained at around 50 percent, including 50.24 percent in May, according to the CPCA.

Chinese automakers are poised to become a dominant force in the global auto industry in the coming years, thanks to government support for new energy vehicle (NEV) companies, automakers' focus on vehicle styling and customer orientation, and the accelerating pace of NEV launches, according to AlixPartners.

The business models evolved by Chinese automakers are also likely to be successful in Europe and the US, and Chinese automakers will become a dominant force in the global auto industry in the coming years, the report said.

However, industry disruption from Chinese manufacturers won't necessarily make quick waves in overseas markets as traditional car companies around the world are focused on dealing with the impact of innovation from , the report also noted.

The success of Chinese NEV brands provides a reference for global automakers, AlixPartners said, adding that local brands are better able to meet the needs of a new generation of tech-savvy consumers while maintaining a strong value for money and offering a better digital marketing experience than joint venture brands.

Models that are popular with Chinese consumers are also increasingly likely to be popular with global consumers, and multinational automakers must be prepared to fundamentally change their working models as Chinese-style competition eventually comes to their home markets as well, the report said.

AlixPartners expects auto sales in China to grow 3 percent in 2023 and then maintain a slow but steady pace to reach a level of 50 million units around 2050.

Retail sales of passenger cars in China were 20.54 million units in 2022, up 1.9 percent year-on-year, with NEVs contributing 5.67 million units, or 27.6 percent, according to the CPCA.

Local brands' share of Chinese auto market in May at 50.24%

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