A massive
Category: eV
XPeng CEO sees China EV landscape far from set
XPeng will enter an accelerating positive feedback loop starting in the third quarter of this year and will see faster growth from the third quarter of next year to the end of 2025, XPeng's CEO said.
(Screenshot from the video of XPeng CEO He Xiaopeng's speech.)
Electric vehicle (EV) startups see ups and downs in fortunes as the industry grows rapidly in China. XPeng (NYSE: XPEV) is one of the EV makers that has been in a downward spiral over the past year, but its CEO doesn't think it's a big deal.
In a speech at the China Auto Blue Book Forum in Wuhan, central China's Hubei province, XPeng chairman and CEO He Xiaopeng argued that the landscape of China's EV industry is not yet set and that there's no need to worry too much about winning or losing in the moment.
"Whether it's joint ventures, state-owned enterprises, or private companies, including the new car makers, we see very fierce competition in the whole industry," he said.
"In fact, I don't think we need to worry too much about this competition. First of all, has anyone already got the qualification to stay at the table today?" he said.
"At least, I don't think there's a single company in China, not a single startup, that will definitively be on the table for the next one," he added.
Citing the development of China's Internet industry over the past 20 years, he said he had been thinking from 2007-2010 about which products would qualify to be part of the mobile Internet end game.
"In fact, we later found out that there was no answer to that question," he said.
None of the products had a chance of qualifying for that from 2007 to 2010, and that qualification came in 2010 and later with the emergence of big hardware and software players, he said.
XPeng has seen strong delivery growth in 2021, with deliveries reaching an all-time high of 16,000 units in December 2021.
Its deliveries have continued to be weak since the second half of last year, dropping to 5,218 units in January of this year. In the past three months, it has delivered at slightly above 7,000 units each month.
Its local counterpart NIO (NYSE: NIO) fared a bit better last year, but also faced a similarly sluggish delivery as it switched products this year, delivering just 6,155 vehicles in May.
In contrast, Li Auto (NASDAQ: LI) has maintained strong deliveries since last year, with a record 28,277 vehicles delivered in May.
It's worth noting that Li Auto's current models are all extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), which are essentially plug-in hybrids and have a much larger market space. Both XPeng and NIO only offer battery electric vehicles, which are in a fast-growing but small market.
In his speech today, Mr. He said he could foresee a large number of hybrid models in China in the next two years, especially in the family car segment.
"Because everyone sees the success, they will follow. Because they are following, a large number of models will focus on the same place. It's a very interesting thing," he said.
He stressed that automakers should have a long-term vision. "I think in the automotive space, for everything, you have to think about the layout for ten to twenty years, it's not possible to achieve a big change in three years' time," he said.
XPeng has faced many challenges in the last year, but the positive feedback for the company will accelerate in the full year starting in the third quarter of this year, he said.
From the third quarter of next year to the end of 2025, XPeng will enter a hyper-speed positive feedback loop, he said, adding that this is based on XPeng's overall layout.
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Analysts expect 16% of heavy trucks sold in China to be electric by 2025
At present, 89 percent of the new energy heavy trucks are pure electric models, and half of them support battery swap.
(Image: Screenshot from a CATL video)
China's electrification transition involves not only regular passenger cars, but heavy trucks as well.
By 2025, sales of electric heavy trucks in China are expected to reach 190,000 units, with a penetration rate of about 16 percent, said CITIC Securities analyst Yuan Jiancong's team in a research note today.
In China, the singularity for accelerated penetration of electric heavy trucks has arrived, with penetration expected to reach 35 percent by 2030, the team said.
The acceleration of new energy heavy truck penetration in China from 2021 onward was largely driven by China's restrictions on carbon emissions from high-emitting companies, according to the team.
In 2022, retail sales of new energy heavy trucks in China were 25,000 units, up 142 percent year-on-year, with a penetration rate of about 5 percent, CITIC Securities said, citing data from China Automotive Technology and Research Center (CATARC).
At present, 89 percent of new energy heavy trucks are pure electric models, and half of them support battery swap, according to the team.
Heavy-duty trucks have larger batteries and take longer to recharge at the same charging rate, and battery swap meets the efficiency requirements of these models, the team said.
From 2021 to 2022, the percentage of battery swap-enabled heavy-duty trucks ramped up, the team said, adding that they expect such electric heavy-duty trucks to become the industry's dominant product form in the near term.
On June 12, CATL unveiled Qiji Energy, a battery swap solution for heavy-duty trucks. Similar to the Chinese power battery giant's EVOGO solution for passenger cars released last year, Qiji Energy supports flexible use of the number of batteries.
With a capacity of 171 kWh in a single battery block, heavy trucks can choose to use 1-3 blocks, and the entire battery replacement process takes only a few minutes, CATL said.
In the vehicle-battery separation model, a heavy truck can save RMB 30,000 ($4,190) to RMB 60,000 in annual costs, CATL said.
CATL's move is expected to further boost the electrification of heavy trucks, CITIC Securities said in the research note today.
The penetration of electric heavy trucks is expected to accelerate in areas with higher requirements for range and economy, the team said.
The note also said that Tesla's first electric heavy truck, the Semi, which began deliveries on December 2, 2022, has a range of 800 km at 37 tons fully loaded and has met the criteria for wide-scale commercial operation.
Electric heavy-duty trucks have shown good economic performance in both the US and China, and the Tesla Semi could help the industry grow more rapidly in the US, the team said.
In China, electric heavy-duty trucks will be adopted preferentially in the short term in scenarios including coal industrial parks, steel industrial parks, and sanitation trucks, driven by policy.
By 2025-2030, market forces will drive more growth in the sector as electric heavy trucks improve in economy and range, according to the team.
($1 = RMB 7.1551)
CATL launches battery swap solution Qiji Energy for heavy-duty trucks
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Buick to launch Electra E4 coupe SUV in China on Jun 19
Only about 2 months ago on April 13, Buick launched the Electra E5 SUV -- its first model based on GM's Ultium platform -- in China.
(Image credit: Buick)
General Motors' Buick brand is probably the most aggressive of the foreign brands when it comes to tapping into the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) market, with a second model coming two months after launching its first model based on the Ultium platform two months ago.
The Buick Electra E4 -- an all-electric coupe SUV -- will go on sale in China on June 19, the brand announced on its social media accounts yesterday.
Notably, Buick launched the Electra E5 SUV, its first model based on GM's Ultium platform, in China only about 2 months ago, on April 13.
Buick was already warming up for the Electra E4's launch earlier this month, sharing exterior images of the model as well as its core specs.
The Electra E4 entered the Chinese industry regulator's list of new models that will be allowed to be sold in China two months ago.
The model has a length, width and height of 4,818 mm, 1,912 mm and 1,581 mm, respectively, and a wheelbase of 2,954 mm, according to the regulatory filing dated April 11.
For comparison, Buick's first model based on the Ultium platform, the Electra E5, has a length, width and height of 4,892 mm, 1,905 mm and 1,655 mm, respectively, and a wheelbase of 2,954 mm.
The model has two power versions, the dual-motor version with a maximum output of 143 kW for the front motor and 68 kW for the rear motor. Its single-motor version has a front motor with a maximum output of 150 kW. The model supports a top speed of 180 km/h.
The Buick Electra E4 is powered by a ternary lithium-ion battery supplied by a joint venture between CATL and GM's local car-making partner SAIC, with a 65-kWh pack for a CLTC range of 530 km in the standard range version and a 79.7-kWh pack for a CLTC range of 620 km in the long-range version.
Buick is one of the most aggressive in embracing the transition to electrification in the Chinese auto industry. It launched the Electra E5 on April 13, offering five versions with starting prices of RMB 208,900 ($29,100), RMB 222,900, RMB 225,900, RMB 239,900 and RMB 278,900, respectively.
On April 25, Buick announced that the Electra E5 received more than 8,000 orders after 12 days on the market.
On May 29, SAIC Motor, a joint venture between GM and SAIC, said the first deliveries of Electra E5 vehicles had begun, but did not announce the number of deliveries.
($1 = RMB 7.1780)
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NIO website shows countdown as ET5 Touring launch less than 8 hours away
Deliveries of the ET5 Touring in China will begin tomorrow, and NIO management expects the model to enhance its competitiveness in the premium family car market.
NIO (NYSE: NIO) will hold a launch event for the ET5 Touring starting today at 19:00 Beijing time (7:00 am US Eastern time), and its official website is showing a countdown.
As of press time, the launch of the NIO ET5 Touring in China, themed "Journey Ahead," has 7 hours and 43 minutes to go. The delivery of the model in China will officially start tomorrow.
NIO's English website is also showing a countdown to the European launch event with the theme "Inspired By Life", which will start in 13 hours and 43 minutes.
The ET5 Touring will be the first NIO model to be launched at a global launch event. The company will hold the European launch of the model on June 16 at 1:00 am Beijing time (June 15 at 1:00 pm US Eastern time).
The ET5 Touring launch will be an event across six countries, NIO announced on June 10, when a post on the NIO App hinted that the model would be released to consumers in China, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Germany.
Below is a video posted today by the NIO App of the ET5 Touring on a track drive in Germany.
NIO began accepting pre-orders for the ET5 Touring in China on June 10, although the model's specifications and price have not yet been announced.
For the ET5 Touring, many expect that its starting price in China, including the battery, will likely be 10,000 yuan ($1,400) to 20,000 yuan higher than that of the regular ET5.
NIO lowered the starting prices for all models by RMB 30,000 on June 12 and made the battery swap service, which was previously free several times a month, a paid option.
Under the latest pricing system, the starting price for the regular ET5, including the battery, is reduced to RMB 298,000. If consumers choose to lease the battery using the BaaS (battery as a service) program, then the starting price of the vehicle is RMB 228,000.
On March 9, the Chinese Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) announced the latest batch of models that will be allowed to be sold in China, and the NIO ET5 Touring was included in the list.
The model has a length, width and height of 4,790 mm, 1,960 mm and 1,499 mm respectively, and a wheelbase of 2,888 mm, in line with the ET5 sedan, according to the filing information.
It is equipped with dual motors produced by NIO's electric drive systems division in Hefei, Anhui province, with a maximum power of 150 kW and 210 kW, respectively, and can support a top speed of 200 km/h.
As with several other NIO models based on the NT 2.0 platform, the NIO ET5 Touring supports the option of a retractable electric tow hook, which can tow a maximum of 1,400 kg of caravan weight.
The model's battery supplier includes CALB in addition to CATL, as do the new EC6, EC7, new ES8 and new ES6.
The ET5 Touring can meet the diverse use scenarios of individual and family users, greatly enhancing the company's competitiveness in the high-end family car market, William Li, founder, chairman and CEO of NIO, said during a June 9 analyst call following the company's first-quarter earnings announcement.
($1 = RMB 7.1735)
Store visit: First impression of NIO ET5 Touring before official launch
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In Case You Missed It: Toyota Dropped a GR Prius
The latest Toyota Prius was a massive leap over the previous generation – in terms of style and performance, if not efficiency – but there’s always room for more, and more is exactly what this Gazoo Racing-developed GR Prius brought to France this past weekend. Toyota rolled out its Prius 24h Le Mans Centennial GR […]
