Category: Earnings

Li Auto to report Q1 earnings on May 10

Li Auto delivered a record 52,584 vehicles in the first quarter, which is near the lower end of its guidance range of 52,000 to 55,000 vehicles.

Li Auto to report Q1 earnings on May 10-CnEVPost

Li Auto (NASDAQ: LI) will report its unaudited financial results for the first quarter on Wednesday, May 10, before the US market opens, it said today.

The company's management will hold an earnings call at 8 pm Beijing Time that day, or 8 am US Eastern Time on May 10.

Previously released figures show that Li Auto delivered a record 52,584 vehicles in the first quarter, up 65.80 percent year-on-year and up 13.53 percent from the fourth quarter of last year.

The deliveries were near the lower end of the 52,000 to 55,000 vehicle guidance range it had previously provided.

Li Auto's revenue guidance for the first quarter was RMB 17.45 billion to RMB 18.45 billion, implying a year-on-year increase of 82.5 percent to 93 percent.

The company launched the new Li L7, its first five-seat SUV, on February 8. Previously the company was delivering the higher-priced Li L9 and Li L8 models.

The Li L7 is the least expensive of its product array, with Pro and Max versions starting at RMB 339,800 ($49,090) and 379,800 respectively. In addition, the Li L7 has a lower-priced Air version available, starting at RMB 319,800.

Deliveries of the Li L7 Pro and Li L7 Max began on March 11, with deliveries of the Li L7Air beginning earlier this month.

Li Auto's vehicle margin was 20 percent in the fourth quarter, down from 22.3 percent in the year-ago quarter but up from 12 percent in the third quarter.

It posted a gross margin of 20.2 percent in the fourth quarter, a sharp rebound from 12.7 percent in the third quarter. Li Auto's accelerated phase-out of its first model, the Li ONE, in the third quarter of last year severely hurt margins.

For participants wishing to join Li Auto's earnings conference call, online registration needs to be completed prior to the scheduled start time of the call using the link provided below.

Once registered, participants will receive conference call access information including a dial-in number, password and unique access PIN.

To join the conference, you will need to dial the number provided and enter your password and PIN.

Attendees can register online at https://s1.c-conf.com/diamondpass/10030396-a6jw52.html

A replay of the conference call will be accessible by dialing the following number through May 17.

United States: +1-855-883-1031

Chinese mainland: +86-400-1209-216

Hong Kong, China: +852-800-930-639

International: +61-7-3107-6325

Replay PIN: 10030396

A live and archived webcast of the conference call will also be available at the company's investor relations website at http://ir.lixiang.com.

($1= RMB 6.9226)

Li Auto delivers 20,823 vehicles in Mar, up 25% from Feb

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Tesla Q1 revenue from China up 6.86% from Q4 to $4.89 billion

In the first quarter, China contributed 20.97 percent of Tesla's revenue, up from 18.82 percent in the fourth quarter but down from 24.79 percent in the same quarter last year.  |  TSLA.US

Tesla Q1 revenue from China up 6.86% from Q4 to $4.89 billion-CnEVPost

Tesla's revenue from China continued to grow in the first quarter, although its global revenue declined in the quarter compared to the fourth quarter.

In the first quarter, Tesla's revenue from China was $4.891 billion, up 5.18 percent from a year ago and up 6.86 percent from the fourth quarter of last year, according to a 10-Q filing it made with the US Securities and Exchange Commission today.

Tesla Q1 revenue from China up 6.86% from Q4 to $4.89 billion-CnEVPost

The US electric vehicle (EV) maker reported total revenue of $23.3 billion in the global market in the first quarter, up 24.38 percent year-on-year, but down 4.07 percent from the fourth quarter of last year.

This means that in the first quarter, the Chinese market contributed 20.97 percent of Tesla's revenue, up from 18.82 percent in the fourth quarter and down from 24.79 percent in the same period last year.

The US market contributed $11.2 billion, or 48 percent, to Tesla's total revenue in the first quarter.

International markets other than China contributed $7.2 billion, or 31 percent, of Tesla's total revenue in the first quarter.

Tesla Q1 revenue from China up 6.86% from Q4 to $4.89 billion-CnEVPost

Tesla announced on April 2 that it delivered 422,875 units worldwide in the first quarter, up 36.39 percent year-on-year and up 4.34 percent from the fourth quarter.

The deliveries beat Wall Street analysts' expectations of 421,200 units, with deliveries of Tesla's cheaper Model 3 with the Model Y exceeding expectations.

Tesla delivered 412,180 Model 3 and Model Y units worldwide in the first quarter, above market expectations of 408,500 units. A total of 10,695 Model S and Model X units were delivered in the first quarter, below expectations of 16,700 units.

In the first quarter, Tesla sold 229,322 China-made vehicles globally, up 25.88 percent from 182,174 in the same period last year, according to data released earlier this month by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA).

This means that 54 percent of Tesla's global deliveries in the first quarter were made at the Shanghai plant.

In China, Tesla delivered 137,429 vehicles in the first quarter, up 26.90 percent year-on-year, according to data from the CPCA monitored by CnEVPost.

Tesla's Shanghai plant exported 91,893 vehicles in the first quarter, up 24.39 percent year-on-year.

Tesla Model Y best-selling SUV in China in Mar with 54,937 units sold

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CATL sees record net profit growth in Q1 as lithium prices plunge

Lithium carbonate prices fell more than 50 percent in the first quarter, allowing CATL to see record net profit growth of 557.97 percent in the quarter.

CATL sees record net profit growth in Q1 as lithium prices plunge-CnEVPost

Chinese power battery giant CATL saw strong net profit growth in the first quarter, as raw battery material prices fell.

In the first quarter, CATL saw revenue of RMB 89.04 billion, up 82.91 percent year-on-year but 24.7 percent lower than in the fourth quarter of last year, according to its earnings report released today.

CATL sees record net profit growth in Q1 as lithium prices plunge-CnEVPost

Its net profit attributable to shareholders in the first quarter was RMB 9.82 billion, up 557.97 percent year-on-year but 25.2 percent lower than in the fourth quarter.

CATL's gross margin in the first quarter was 21.27 percent, up from 14.48 percent a year ago but slightly lower than the 22.57 percent in the fourth quarter.

CATL sees record net profit growth in Q1 as lithium prices plunge-CnEVPost

The first quarter is typically a slow quarter for the Chinese auto market, and a rare price war has put an additional dent in electric vehicle (EV) sales.

In the first quarter, retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles in China were 1,313,610 units, up 22.81 percent year-on-year, but down 26.73 percent from the fourth quarter, according to the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA).

As a supplier with about 50 percent share of the Chinese power battery market, CATL's revenue in the first quarter was impacted by weak sales of NEVs.

However, CATL was among the first to profit as lithium carbonate prices fell sharply in the first quarter, with a record high 557.97 percent year-on-year net profit growth.

So far this year, the price of lithium carbonate, a key raw material for batteries, has not seen a single day of gains this year, according to data provider Mysteel.

The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate fell to RMB 180,000 per ton today, while the average price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate was at RMB 135,000 per ton, down about 70 percent from their highs in November last year.

On March 31, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was RMB 245,000 per ton, down 53 percent from RMB 517,500 per ton at the beginning of the year, according to data monitored by CnEVPost.

CATL sees record net profit growth in Q1 as lithium prices plunge-CnEVPost

When the price of lithium carbonate decreases by RMB 100,000 per ton, ternary lithium batteries and LFP batteries will see marginal cost decreases of RMB 60 to RMB 70/kWh, respectively, said Haitong International Securities analyst Yang Bin's team in a March 30 research note.

In this scenario, battery costs would be RMB 4,200 to RMB 4,900 lower for an all-electric vehicle with a 70-kWh battery capacity, according to the team.

Analysts explain how falling lithium carbonate prices affect EV costs

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XPeng Q4 earnings call: Key points of transcript

announced its fourth-quarter earnings today and held a conference call with analysts.

Below are the key points mentioned by XPeng chairman and CEO, He Xiaopeng, during the call.

Inflection point

XPeng is approaching an inflection point, as we have clearly identified what our goals are, and what our strengths and weaknesses are.

Our overarching goal is to make XPeng a leader in the Chinese EV market, and ultimately win the global EV race.

Senior hire & org changes

The organizational restructure started with changes and upgrades in our top leadership. Ms. Fengying Wang brought us more than 30 years' experience in the automotive industry.

Fengying is taking full responsibility for our product planning and sales operations, and is also in charge of our product platform management scheme.

Her extensive industry experience, in-depth market insight and strong execution capabilities will help our products capture customer demand more accurately, while greatly improving efficiency in our sales and services divisions.

At the same time, the adaptations to our managements' organization are geared toward a flatter and more concentrated structure.

Since February, all design, R&D, production, supply chain and organizational management functions directly report to me.

I believe that these shifts will significantly improve our planning capabilities and lift the efficiency of our decision-making and execution in the coming months.

More importantly, these adjustments have effectively refreshed our execution and competitiveness. For the foreseeable future, I will remain focused on lifting the labor efficiency across our organization by multiple times so as to generate increased customer value with the same headcount, and greatly reduce costs across a full range of processes through technology innovation.

Product planning and design

With regard to our product planning and design, we concentrate on customer-perceived value and product differentiation in our innovation. We will make substantial changes to future products' model configuration mix, whole-vehicle modularized design and consistency in smart features.

In terms of interior and exterior styling and design, to meet XPeng customers' high standards for aesthetics, I am directly running the styling design division and building three teams that compete with each other to generate creative ideas.

These initiatives will continuously improve our interior and exterior styling and space design capabilities.

Customer-centric

We incorporated the Net Promoter Score, or NPS, into the core performance indicators for a variety of business functions and require feedback collection on a monthly basis.

The NPS performance evaluation will anchor the transformation of our product planning, design and development toward a customer-centric pathway. I believe our new products, new OTAs and new services-to-come will demonstrate substantial progress.

New P7i launch

Our in-store traffic and test-driving volume both hit new heights in recent months following the P7i's launch. This new product's smart features, styling design and performance, among other clear advantages in rivalry with similar products were well received among customers.

Amid the market's prevailing weakness in new order intake, our results outperformed the market. Our new order intake in February increased 100% over the previous month.

With the strong momentum of P7i orders following its official launch, we expect to see a considerable month-on-month growth of total new order intake in our March. This marks an initial success following our comprehensive transformation, which has also boosted our company morale.

New SUV G6

Our second new product model coming up this year – the G6 – will make its debut at the Shanghai auto show. Its official launch and vehicle deliveries will occur around the middle of this year.

The G6 will bring the most advanced electrification and smart mobility technologies to the 200,000 to 300,000 yuan-priced NEV SUV market. With unrivaled interior space, range, styling and interior decoration, we believe the G6 will become the top-selling model in its market segment.

Following the ramp-up of G6's mass production, we expect G6's monthly sales target to be 2 to 3 times that of its P7 predecessor's sales.

In addition, in the second half of 2023, we will launch a brand-new BEV 7-seat MPV.

This new MPV model is designed to cater to customer cohorts that demand larger interior room, while serving the needs of our family customers for a human-machine co-pilot.

Chat GPT

Recently, Chat GPT4.0 and other AI-based applications have created a buzz among hundreds of millions of users on the massive potential of generative AI models.

Given this development, there is an even higher possibility that autonomy technology further advances from Level 4 to Level 5.

We expect to incorporate GPT technology deeply into XPeng's business across the board to create groundbreaking user experiences and exceptional improvements to our operational efficiency.

XNGP

In March, we began to accelerate the OTA rollout of City NGP, compatible with multiple models, in several cities including Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Shanghai.

Through City NGP's OTA, we took the lead in mass producing the Transformer-based BEV time-series network, XNET, in China, which achieved a milestone in deep learning algorithm development and application.

In the second half of this year, XNGP, powered by XNET's deep learning algorithms, will no longer depend on a high-definition map. That said, XNGP will be supporting drivers on more urban roads, and across even broader geographic coverage nationwide.

Results from our testing showed the new version of XNGP outperformed peer's actual on-road performance in the United States. This leads us to believe XPeng's autonomous technology and its customer adoption is approaching a pivotal turning point.

While keeping high safety standards remains a top priority of our technology advancements, we will also be focused on rapid development to improve scenario coverage, user experience and software and hardware cost optimization.

In terms of scenario coverage, we have expanded the usage of the advanced technology from highway scenarios into city scenarios, where ADASs are used at high frequency and even become an essential driving tool.

Going forward, we will strive to further broaden ADAS usage to more end-to-end driving scenarios, such as internal compound ways and non-public roads, and expand our geographic coverage from three cities to more major cities nationwide beginning in the third quarter.

In terms of user experience, we have achieved an important psychological barrier for customers to use autonomous driving to "relieve" drivers, that is, drivers can let the machine safely take the wheel, resting assured that they are acting only as a supervisor.

Looking ahead, we expect that through continuous OTA upgrades, XNGP's driving skills will escalate every year and in 2-3 years reach a level that is equivalent to a human driver with 3 years of driving experience. We also expect that the number of manual takeovers per 100 km will be reduced to one or fewer.

Cost cut

Regarding cost efficiency, we plan to cut XNGP's BOM cost significantly next year and adjust our sales model from one that bundles sales of software and hardware, to one that splits the sales of software and hardware, which is going to enable autonomous driving on all of our new vehicles, and allow more customers to use the latest autonomous driving capabilities.

In pursuit of breakthroughs in the aforementioned three realms, we will bring great value to our customers and build out competitive edge in technologies, delivering long-term, sustainable revenue growth at scale and with improved margin contribution.

It has been said that the past five-year period was the golden age for new energy vehicles. I believe the next five-year period will be the golden age for autonomous driving.

During the five years to come, XPeng's highly advanced autonomous driving technology will help XPeng accelerate our ability to gain top market share.

More powerful cost control will be the core competitive edge that will enable XPeng to secure its leadership in the EV market. We will advance the platform-based approach and technology innovation to propel our cost reduction strategy.

Platform approach

Entering 2023, we are applying a full platform engineering approach for our BEV vehicle platform, electrical and electronic architecture, powertrain system and ADAS software and hardware development.

This signals that we are entering a new phase of car-making in a unified system. In this way, we are able to develop products with superior customer experience at a faster pace and a lower cost.

In the past, our R&D strengths were primarily manifested by our leading product performance. In the future, our R&D strengths will be underlined by maintaining the leading performance while achieving remarkable cost reductions.

We have mapped out our strategic execution roadmap with associated cost reductions include an over 50% decrease for autonomous driving costs and an about 25% decrease for vehicle hardware costs (including powertrain) over the 2023-2024 period by means such as technology innovation and optimized configurations.

I am pleased to see the design, technology R&D, supply chain and manufacturing teams are now working in a synergetic way to make our products more competitive through innovation.

Cash resources

In terms of cash liquidity, our cash on hand at the end of 2022 amounted to over RMB38 billion. As we have nearly completed our investments in our two manufacturing bases over the past few years, our Capex will decline substantially. We have also established three powerful vehicle platforms that can support a serial of new model launches over the next three years.

Our R&D will further concentrate on initiatives that best correspond with long-term trends and further differentiate our product in terms of customer experience and cost. We will also pursue improvements in our operating efficiency throughout the entire process.

For example, within our sales operations, we strive to improve same-store efficiency by optimizing our store network. We believe these cost optimization efforts will start to deliver material results beginning in the second half of this year.

Expanding scale

Expanding our scale and market share to achieve economy of scale in both software and hardware is the primary goal in our long-term strategy.

Although the product and management adjustment cycle in the automotive industry is more difficult than other industries and takes a longer period of time, we are still willing to sacrifice short-term sales and more patiently pursue greater victories in the medium- and long-term.

Looking ahead

Excitingly, as we rapidly implement adjustments and changes to our management, in addition to instituting a host of upgrades and iterations in our product portfolio and marketing capabilities, we have seen encouraging changes and positive results.

I am firmly convinced that beginning in the third quarter of this year, XPeng's monthly sales number will achieve significant growth, both sequentially and year-over-year, as well as be much higher than the industry's average growth rate.

I would reiterate that our current focus is on building and improving our capabilities in organization, product design, marketing and cost control. Continuous efforts in refining management and accelerated new product launches in the era of autonomous driving will lead us to the next level of exponential growth. We will continue to strive for this goal.

Lastly, we expect our total vehicle deliveries to be between 18,000 and 19,000 units in the first quarter of 2023 and revenue to be between RMB4 and RMB4.2 billion.

XPeng Q4 revenue misses estimates, gross margin falls to single digit

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XPeng Q4 earnings: Deutsche Bank’s first look

delivered weak 4Q results, accompanied by a muted 1Q outlook that shows March demand still under pressure, Deutsche Bank said.  |  XPeng US | XPeng HK

XPeng (NYSE: XPEV) reported weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings today, and as usual, Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu's team provided their first impressions.

Here's the full text of the note the team sent to investors today.

XPeng delivered weak 4Q results (even softer than our preview), accompanied by a muted 1Q outlook that shows March demand still under pressure.

Deliveries for 4Q were already reported at 22,204 units, leading to revenue of 5.1bn RMB, below our 5.4bn and consensus 5.7bn on lower vehicle pricing and "other sales."

Total gross margin declined 480bps QoQ to 8.7%, missing our 11.5% estimate (consensus 12.1%), driven by much lower vehicle margin (5.7% vs. our 8.5% due to increased promotional activity; lowest since 2H20).

Opex of 2,986m RMB essentially matched our model as lower R&D offset higher SG&A.

All together, EPS of (2.57) came in worse than our (2.33) forecast. Management provided a slightly worse 1Q23 volume guidance than expected, calling for 18,000-19,000 deliveries, vs. our 19,500 forecast (translating into 4.0-4.2bn RMB in revenue).

This would imply March improving MoM to low 7,000 units at the mid-point.

ASP will continue to worsen following price cuts and unfavorable mix (G9 volume struggling).

XPeng Q4 revenue misses estimates, gross margin falls to single digit

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XPeng Q4 revenue misses estimates, gross margin falls to single digit

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reported revenue of RMB 5.14 billion in the fourth quarter, below market expectations of RMB 5.732 billion.

This represents a 39.95 percent year-on-year decline and a 24.63 percent decline from the third quarter.

XPeng generated RMB 4.66 billion of automotive sales revenue in the fourth quarter, down 43.1 percent from the same period in 2021 and down 25.3 percent from the third quarter of 2022.

It reported a gross margin of 8.7 percent in the fourth quarter compared to 12.0 percent in the same period of 2021 and 13.5 percent in the third quarter of 2022.

It had an automotive margin of 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter compared to 10.9 percent in the same period in 2021 and 11.6 percent in the third quarter of 2022. For the full year, the auto margin was 9.4 percent, compared to 11.5 percent in 2021.

The company reported a net loss of RMB 2.36 billion in the fourth quarter, compared to market expectations of a loss of RMB 2.076 billion and a loss of RMB 1.29 billion in the same period last year.

XPeng expects first-quarter vehicle deliveries to be in the range of 18,000 to 19,000 units, a decrease of about 45.0 percent to 47.9 percent year-on-year.

The company expects total revenue for the first quarter to range from RMB4.0 billion to RMB4.2 billion, a decrease of about 43.7 percent to 46.3 percent year-on-year.

XPeng delivered 22,204 vehicles in the fourth quarter, above the upper end of the previously provided guidance range of 20,000 to 21,000, but down 46.82 percent year-on-year and down 24.91 percent from the third quarter.

XPeng's previous revenue guidance for the fourth quarter was RMB 4.8 billion to RMB 5.1 billion, representing a decrease of about 40.4 percent to 43.9 percent year-on-year.

XPeng earnings preview: Q4 to be soft with promotions hitting margins

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XPeng Q4 revenue misses estimates, gross margin falls to single digit

This article is being updated, please refresh later for more content.

reported revenue of RMB 5.14 billion in the fourth quarter, below market expectations of RMB 5.732 billion.

This represents a 39.95 percent year-on-year decline and a 24.63 percent decline from the third quarter.

XPeng generated RMB 4.66 billion of automotive sales revenue in the fourth quarter, down 43.1 percent from the same period in 2021 and down 25.3 percent from the third quarter of 2022.

It reported a gross margin of 8.7 percent in the fourth quarter compared to 12.0 percent in the same period of 2021 and 13.5 percent in the third quarter of 2022.

It had an automotive margin of 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter compared to 10.9 percent in the same period in 2021 and 11.6 percent in the third quarter of 2022. For the full year, the auto margin was 9.4 percent, compared to 11.5 percent in 2021.

The company reported a net loss of RMB 2.36 billion in the fourth quarter, compared to market expectations of a loss of RMB 2.076 billion and a loss of RMB 1.29 billion in the same period last year.

XPeng expects first-quarter vehicle deliveries to be in the range of 18,000 to 19,000 units, a decrease of about 45.0 percent to 47.9 percent year-on-year.

The company expects total revenue for the first quarter to range from RMB4.0 billion to RMB4.2 billion, a decrease of about 43.7 percent to 46.3 percent year-on-year.

XPeng delivered 22,204 vehicles in the fourth quarter, above the upper end of the previously provided guidance range of 20,000 to 21,000, but down 46.82 percent year-on-year and down 24.91 percent from the third quarter.

XPeng's previous revenue guidance for the fourth quarter was RMB 4.8 billion to RMB 5.1 billion, representing a decrease of about 40.4 percent to 43.9 percent year-on-year.

XPeng earnings preview: Q4 to be soft with promotions hitting margins

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LiDAR-maker Hesai posts Q4 revenue growth of 56.6% YoY in 1st earnings report since US IPO

Hesai began trading on the Nasdaq on February 9 and has accumulated a decline of about 36 percent since then.

Hesai

LiDAR-maker Hesai posts Q4 revenue growth of 56.6% YoY in 1st earnings report since US IPO-CnEVPost

Chinese LiDAR maker Hesai Group (NASDAQ: HSAI) saw record revenue in the fourth quarter, though gross margin fell further.

Hesai reported revenue of RMB 409.2 million ($59.3 million) in the fourth quarter, up 56.6 percent year-on-year, according to its unaudited earnings report released after the US stock market closed on March 15, the company's first since listing on the Nasdaq.

The company shipped 47,515 total LiDAR units in the fourth quarter, up 739.2 percent from 5,662 units in the same period in 2021.

It shipped 43,351 ADAS LiDAR units in the fourth quarter, compared to 87 units in the same period in 2021.

Hesai's gross margin was 30 percent in the fourth quarter, down from 52.4 percent in the same period in 2021 and down from 37 percent in the third quarter.

LiDAR-maker Hesai posts Q4 revenue growth of 56.6% YoY in 1st earnings report since US IPO-CnEVPost

The decline in gross margin was primarily due to increased shipments of low-margin ADAS LiDAR products in the early ramp-up phase and lower capacity utilization at the in-house plant, the company said.

Hesai reported a net loss of RMB 135.3 million for the fourth quarter, compared with RMB 70 million for the same period in 2021.

Excluding stock-based compensation expense, it reported an adjusted non-GAAP net loss of RMB 110.2 million in the fourth quarter, compared with RMB 39.3 million in the same period in 2021.

The company reported both basic and diluted net loss per common share of RMB 1.18 for the fourth quarter. Excluding stock-based compensation expense and deemed dividends, adjusted non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per common share for the fourth quarter were both RMB 0.96.

It reported R&D expenses of RMB 178.8 million in the fourth quarter, an increase of 13.3 percent from RMB 157.8 million in the same period of 2021, primarily due to higher payroll expenses resulting from an increase in R&D staff.

Hesai's sales and marketing expenses for the fourth quarter were RMB 41.4 million, an increase of 95.2 percent year-on-year.

It had general and administrative expenses of RMB 47.6 million in the fourth quarter, a decrease of 7.6 percent year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in stock-based compensation expenses.

Hesai's cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments were RMB 1.86 billion as of December 31, 2022, compared to RMB 2.79 billion as of December 31, 2021 and RMB 2.07 billion as of September 30, 2022.

For the full year 2022, Hesai's revenue was RMB1,202.7 million, an increase of 66.9 percent year-on-year.

The company shipped 80,462 LiDAR units in full-year 2022, an increase of 467.5 percent year-on-year.

The company's gross margin for the full year 2022 was 39.2 percent, down from 53 percent in the prior year.

For the first quarter of 2023, Hesai expects net revenues to be in the range of RMB 390 million to RMB 410 million, or about 57.0 percent to 65.0 percent year-on-year growth.

Hesai began trading on the Nasdaq on February 9 under the ticker HSAI and has continued to fall since then.

The company closed down 12.36 percent yesterday, bringing its cumulative decline since the IPO to about 36 percent.

Hesai was up 3.02 percent in after-hours trading Wednesday following the earnings report.

LiDAR-maker Hesai posts Q4 revenue growth of 56.6% YoY in 1st earnings report since US IPO-CnEVPost

Hesai debuts on Nasdaq, becoming 1st Chinese LiDAR maker to go public in US

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XPeng earnings preview: Q4 to be soft with promotions hitting margins

"We expect generally soft results and a weak 1Q23 outlook due to challenging demand and pricing dynamics," Edison Yu's team said.

US | XPeng HK

XPeng (NYSE: XPEV) will report fourth-quarter earnings on Friday, and as usual, Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu's team provided their preview.

"We expect generally soft results and a weak 1Q23 outlook due to challenging demand and pricing dynamics," the team said in a research report sent to investors yesterday.

Soft fourth-quarter

XPeng will report its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2022 on Friday, March 17, before the US markets open.

It delivered 22,204 vehicles in the fourth quarter, above the upper end of the guidance range of 20,000 to 21,000, but down 46.82 percent year-on-year and down 24.91 percent from the third quarter.

XPeng's previous revenue guidance for the fourth quarter was RMB 4.8 billion to RMB 5.1 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of about 40.4 percent to 43.9 percent.

"We expect a soft quarter with deliveries already reported at 22,204, above management's guidance range (20,000-21,000), but with promotional activity hitting margins," Yu's team wrote.

The team expects XPeng to post revenue of RMB 5.4 billion yuan and a gross margin of 11.5 percent in the fourth quarter.

They expect XPeng's vehicle margin to be 8.5 percent in the fourth quarter, down 3.1 percentage points from the third quarter, and adjusted earnings per share of RMB -2.33.

The current analyst consensus in the Bloomberg survey is for revenue of RMB 5.7 billion, gross margin of 12.1 percent and adjusted EPS of RMB -2.25.

For the first quarter, Yu's team expects deliveries to be around 19,000-20,000 units and for gross margin to drop to single digits as price cuts take hold.

XPeng deliveries in January and February were 5,218 and 6,010 units respectively, for a cumulative total of 11,228 units. Insurance registration figures for the past two weeks suggest that the company did not see a significant improvement in deliveries in March.

Uncertainty in 2023

The key to XPeng's relevance going forward is to win back market share, and that could take several quarters to achieve, which has created significant uncertainty this year, Yu's team said.

Demand for the company's flagship SUV, the G9, has clearly been disappointing, despite mostly positive reviews, the team said, adding that they expect XPeng to potentially make pricing or SKU adjustments to the SUV in the coming months.

XPeng's new P7i sedan should help with order volume, but there won't be materially beneficial until the second quarter, the team said.

Most importantly, XPeng's upcoming Model Y competitor, the G6, needs to reach at least 5,000 units per month by the end of the year to be considered a success, the team said.

The team now expects XPeng to be on track to deliver 145,000 vehicles in 2023, a 10,000-unit downward revision from earlier, taking into account the decline in G9 sales.

How can capacity utilization be improved?

If XPeng's sales continue to be weak, its management may need to get creative to improve its capacity utilization, Yu's team said, adding that the easiest way to do that would be to sign some large fleet deals.

That may be hard in China, considering and GAC have stronger positions in the taxi and ride-sharing segment, but XPeng recently signed deals with some local car rental companies to buy its P7 sedan, the team noted.

XPeng entered into a strategic partnership with local car rental company eHi Car Services on July 19, 2022, and delivered the first few hundred cars to the latter.

On January 9 this year, XPeng signed agreements with car rental company China Auto Rental and 's travel service platform Xiaolinggou Travel Technology, and completed the delivery of the first XPeng P7 vehicles in Ningbo, Zhejiang province.

In addition, XPeng has restarted its expansion efforts in Europe, where large fleet deals could make sense due to the region's high percentage of corporate fleets and low availability of cheap BEV options, Yu's team said.

"We note BYD has an agreement with SIXT for 100,000 EVs and XPeng's vehicles fall into a similar price point. BYD also just announced a 5,000 unit agreement with UK's Octopus EV," the team wrote.

Another option is to partner more deeply with traditional OEMs on EVs and robotaxis, which could come in the form of equity investments or strategic alliances, according to the team.

XPeng offering discounts to clear P7 inventory, facelift to launch next week, report says

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CATL sees Q4 net profit up 39% QoQ, gross margin improves further to 22.57%

's capacity utilization was 83.4 percent in 2022, down from 95 percent in 2021.

CATL saw a solid performance in the fourth quarter, with its key businesses seeing strong growth.

The Chinese power battery giant achieved revenue of RMB 118.25 billion ($16.98 billion) in the fourth quarter, up 107.49 percent year-on-year and up 21.44 percent from the third quarter, according to its annual report released Thursday.

The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached RMB 13.14 billion in the fourth quarter, up 60.64 percent year-on-year and up 39.49 percent from the third quarter.

CATL's gross margin further improved to 22.57 percent in the fourth quarter, up from 19.27 percent in the third quarter.

Previously, CATL's gross margin continued to decline in 2021, dropping to 14.48 percent in the first quarter of 2022 due to a large increase in battery raw material prices.

CATL's revenue for the full year 2022 was RMB 328.59 billion, up 152 percent year-on-year, and net profit was RMB 30.73 billion, up 92.89 percent year-on-year.

The company's gross margin in 2022 were 20.25 percent, a decrease of 6.03 percentage points from 2021.

CATL's revenue mainly comes from its power battery systems business, energy storage systems business and battery materials and recycling business.

Its power battery systems business generated revenue of RMB 236.6 billion in 2022, up 158.6 percent year-on-year, contributing 72 percent of the company's revenue.

CATL's actual battery systems capacity in 2022 was 390 GWh, up 128.9 percent year-on-year. It has 152 GWh of capacity under construction.

It had 325 GWh of battery system production in 2022, up 100 percent year-on-year, with full-year sales reaching 289 GWh, up 116.6 percent year-on-year.

It has a battery inventory of 70 GWh in 2022, up 75.2 percent year-on-year.

Notably, with rapid capacity expansion, CATL's capacity utilization rate was 83.4 percent in 2022, down from 95 percent in 2021.

CATL's energy storage systems business generated revenue of RMB 44.98 billion in 2022, up 230.16 percent year-on-year, contributing 13.69 percent of total revenue.

Its energy storage systems business saw a large decline in gross margin, which was 17 percent in 2022, 11.51 percentage points lower than in 2021, a much larger decline than other businesses.

This is because energy storage orders are mostly long-term orders, and compared to power batteries, energy storage batteries are more sensitive to price fluctuations, making it difficult to negotiate directly with customers for price increases in the short term.

CATL's battery materials and recycling business generated revenue of RMB 26.03 billion in 2022, up 94.7 percent year-on-year, contributing 7.92 percent of total revenue.

The battery materials and recycling business gross margin remained largely stable, declining only 2.36 percentage points to 21.23 percent in 2022.

Citi analyst Jack Shang said in a research note that CATL's reported results were in line with previous forecasts, and they are bullish on the company's strong pricing power and overseas customer channel as a leader in the battery industry.

Citi raised its earnings forecast for CATL by 4 percent for this year and 2 percent for next year to RMB 39 billion and RMB 49 billion, respectively, maintaining it as a top pick in the industry.

Citi expects CATL's battery sales could reach 402 GWh this year, up 39 percent year-on-year.

($1 = RMB 6.9648)

CATL's share in global EV battery market slips in Jan, BYD rises

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